Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.017558 0.019533 0.021517 0.023654 0.025886 0.028143 0.030592
2025-03-30 0.013563 0.016611 0.019801 0.023359 0.027191 0.031171 0.035597
2025-04-06 0.010799 0.014424 0.018354 0.022861 0.027829 0.033087 0.039027
2025-04-13 0.008329 0.012226 0.016607 0.021770 0.027582 0.033835 0.040997
2025-04-20 0.007227 0.011447 0.016329 0.022196 0.028897 0.036189 0.044613
2025-04-27 0.005916 0.010271 0.015477 0.021868 0.029282 0.037440 0.046949
2025-05-04 0.004716 0.009098 0.014529 0.021345 0.029372 0.038301 0.048794
2025-05-11 0.004023 0.008506 0.014229 0.021537 0.030243 0.040005 0.051545
2025-05-18 0.003277 0.007752 0.013670 0.021372 0.030659 0.041159 0.053648
2025-05-25 0.002509 0.006863 0.012872 0.020865 0.030633 0.041776 0.055114
2025-06-01 0.001931 0.006173 0.012283 0.020577 0.030836 0.042628 0.056823
2025-06-08 0.001405 0.005469 0.011623 0.020160 0.030853 0.043243 0.058239
2025-06-15 0.001033 0.005002 0.011325 0.020279 0.031619 0.044851 0.060943
2025-06-22 0.000624 0.004342 0.010717 0.019989 0.031901 0.045919 0.063068
2025-06-29 0.000297 0.003665 0.010011 0.019525 0.031936 0.046672 0.064808
2025-07-06 0.000051 0.002826 0.008947 0.018513 0.031239 0.046518 0.065462
2025-07-13 0.000009 0.002634 0.008915 0.018908 0.032309 0.048473 0.068571
2025-07-20 NaN 0.002197 0.008407 0.018604 0.032466 0.049310 0.070353
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001746 0.007799 0.018119 0.032364 0.049814 0.071727
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001553 0.007656 0.018298 0.033115 0.051350 0.074312
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001280 0.007305 0.018144 0.033416 0.052323 0.076222
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000956 0.006765 0.017675 0.033279 0.052744 0.077460
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000725 0.006374 0.017409 0.033397 0.053467 0.079050